Considering MetLife's upcoming earnings announcements, should you decide to invest or offload their stock?
MetLife, the multinational financial services company with a current market capitalization of $53 billion [1], is set to announce its earnings on August 6, 2025. Ahead of the announcement, let's take a look at the company's historical performance following earnings releases and its projected financials.
Over the past five years, MetLife's earnings data points have shown a mixed short-term performance. The correlation between one-day (1D) post-earnings returns and subsequent five-day (5D) returns has been observable [2]. During this period, one-day returns have been negative more often than positive, with 12 negative and 8 positive returns out of 20 events [1]. However, the five-day post-earnings window shows a 50% win rate, indicating less predictability [2].
Longer-term returns, such as over twenty-one days, are less precisely quantified in the available data. However, the narrative suggests that immediate earnings misses often coincide with short-term underperformance. The stock’s medium-term performance is influenced by operational discipline, strategic execution, and broader market trends, which can support rebound or longer-term appreciation [2][3].
Looking at the financials, earnings per share are projected to be approximately $2.16, and revenues are expected to decline by about 1% year-over-year, totaling around $18.50 billion [4]. Net income reported for the past twelve months was $4.5 billion [5].
Historically, the performance of MetLife stock following earnings has been compared to the stock performance of peers that reported earnings shortly before MetLife. Over the past five years, positive one-day returns occurred roughly 40% of the time [6].
For a fair comparison, peer stock returns also represent post-earnings one-day (1D) returns. It's worth noting that the High Quality portfolio, which provides upside with a more stable experience than an individual stock such as MetLife, has outperformed the S&P 500 and achieved over 91% returns since its inception [7]. Another strategy, the Trefis RV strategy, has also outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark, yielding strong returns for investors [8].
Investors and traders may consider these historical patterns combined with business fundamentals and external factors when making decisions around earnings periods. MetLife (NYSE:MET) is scheduled to announce earnings on August 6, 2025.
[1] Source: MarketWatch [2] Source: Seeking Alpha [3] Source: MetLife Investor Relations [4] Source: Yahoo Finance [5] Source: MetLife Investor Relations [6] Source: Seeking Alpha [7] Source: Morningstar [8] Source: Trefis
- Investors and traders may find it beneficial to analyze MetLife's stock performance following its earnings announcement, taking into account the company's historical mixed short-term earnings performance and the observed correlation between one-day and five-day returns following earnings releases.
- As MetLife's earnings per share are projected to be around $2.16 and revenues are expected to decline by about 1%, investors may also consider the company's operational discipline, strategic execution, and broader market trends when making decisions regarding the engagement with MetLife stock following the earnings announcement on August 6, 2025.
