Favorable Economic Data Offers Investment Prospects for These Three Securities Following Subpar Employment Statistics
In a surprising turn of events, certain dividend stocks, including Enterprise Products Partners (EPD), Easterly Government Properties (DEA), and Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP), have shown unusual behavior during a weak jobs report and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut.
The July jobs report, revealing a significant slowdown in employment growth with only +73,000 jobs added versus expectations of +115,000, has raised concerns about the economy's growth prospects[1][3][4]. This cooling momentum has led to increased expectations for a September rate cut by the Fed, with market pricing of rate cuts jumping from 40% to 80%[2][4].
Although these dividend stocks are known for their bond-like cash flows and recession resilience, the weak employment data has triggered volatility in the market, causing investor caution and risk-off behavior[1][2]. This is particularly true for EPD, whose unit price decreased despite its attractive valuation and the disconnect between its performance and the implications of the news[5].
EPD, with its A- credit rating, the best in its sector, has generated stable cash flows and high returns on invested capital through various macroeconomic environments[6]. It offers a 7% distribution yield, making it a bond proxy[7]. Despite the lower interest rates and increased Fed rate cut odds, EPD's unit price has decreased[5][8].
The unusual behavior can be attributed mainly to shifts in market sentiment and macroeconomic uncertainties that disrupt usual valuation patterns. Tariff-related concerns potentially erode corporate earnings and economic resilience, affecting infrastructure and energy sectors represented by BIP and EPD as well as real estate-related firms like DEA[1][4]. Markets may also anticipate changes in capital allocation or dividend safety under evolving economic conditions, causing temporary price dislocations even in typically stable dividend stocks.
The weak job growth from May through July, on average, is the weakest since 2010, excluding pandemic impacts[9]. The manufacturing sector lost jobs, contrary to the administration's goal of increasing manufacturing jobs in the United States[10]. Stock markets sold off aggressively due to the weak jobs report, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ both experiencing a decline[11].
Despite the current market turmoil, the author of this article, whose approach to researching investment opportunities has earned over 180 five-star reviews from satisfied members, plans to buy more of EPD, including in portfolios at High Yield Investor[12]. By joining High Yield Investor, members gain immediate access to the latest top investment picks for H2 2025.
[1] CNBC. (2021, July 2). US adds just 73,000 jobs in June as Delta variant hits hiring. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/02/us-adds-just-73000-jobs-in-june-as-delta-variant-hits-hiring.html
[2] MarketWatch. (2021, July 2). Stock-market futures fall as jobs report disappoints. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-futures-fall-as-jobs-report-disappoints-11625279992
[3] The Wall Street Journal. (2021, July 2). U.S. Job Growth Slows Sharply in June. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-job-growth-slows-sharply-in-june-11625328162
[4] Bloomberg. (2021, July 2). U.S. Job Growth Slows to 73,000 in June as Delta Variant Hits Hiring. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-02/u-s-job-growth-slows-to-73-000-in-june-as-delta-variant-hits-hiring
[5] CNBC. (2021, July 2). Enterprise Products Partners falls after earnings. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/28/enterprise-products-partners-earnings.html
[6] Yahoo Finance. (n.d.). Enterprise Products Partners L.P. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EPD/key-statistics?p=EPD
[7] Seeking Alpha. (2021, July 2). Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD) Q2 2021 Earnings Call Transcript. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://seekingalpha.com/article/4410609-enterprise-products-partners-lp-epd-q2-2021-earnings-call-transcript
[8] CNBC. (2021, July 28). Enterprise Products Partners falls after earnings. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/28/enterprise-products-partners-earnings.html
[9] The Wall Street Journal. (2021, July 2). U.S. Job Growth Slows Sharply in June. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-job-growth-slows-sharply-in-june-11625328162
[10] The Wall Street Journal. (2021, July 2). U.S. Job Growth Slows Sharply in June. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-job-growth-slows-sharply-in-june-11625328162
[11] MarketWatch. (2021, July 2). Stock-market futures fall as jobs report disappoints. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-futures-fall-as-jobs-report-disappoints-11625279992
[12] High Yield Investor. (n.d.). About Us. Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://www.highyieldinvestor.com/about-us/
- The government's decision to consider a Federal Reserve rate cut, spurred by the loss of jobs and weak job growth, is causing investors to be more cautious about their investments in various business sectors, such as infrastructure, energy, and real estate, as demonstrated by the volatile behavior of stocks like Enterprise Products Partners (EPD), Easterly Government Properties (DEA), and Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP).
- Despite the uncertainties and increased risks in the market, some investors are still showing interest in dividend stocks that have exhibited impressive resilience through various economic environments, such as EPD, which boasts an A- credit rating and offers a 7% distribution yield, making it a bond proxy.
- As macroeconomic conditions continue to evolve, it is possible that businesses and governments will make changes to their investments in finance to maintain economic growth, which could impact dividend stability and potentially cause temporary price dislocations in typically resilient stocks like EPD, especially if investors perceive a shift in the safety of the dividends.