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Quantitative Tightening Set to Persist by Fed - Its Efficiency Proven

Fed's Losses Decrease Due to Reduced Mismatch via Quantitative Tightening and Interest Rates, but Unrealized Losses of $928B Indicate Potential Risks.

Federal losses decrease as a result of reduced mismatch through Quantitative Tightening (QT) and...
Federal losses decrease as a result of reduced mismatch through Quantitative Tightening (QT) and interest rate adjustments. However, the existence of $928 billion in unrealized losses illustrates potential hazards.

Quantitative Tightening Set to Persist by Fed - Its Efficiency Proven

Federal Reserve's Operating Earnings Show Improvement for Second Consecutive Quarter

The Federal Reserve has announced an improvement in its operating earnings for the second successive quarter, marking the highest level since the third quarter of 2022, as per the Combined Quarterly Financial Report for March 31, 2025.

The report, published on May 16, 2025, showcases the second consecutive uptick in operating earnings, a significant financial metric that indicates the Fed's earnings from its monetary policy operations and services to depository institutions. Although specific figures for this quarter's operating earnings were not directly provided in the results, the report typically illustrates net interest income earned on securities and lending, minus operating expenses.

Over the last few quarters, the Federal Reserve has been reducing its balance sheet by allowing securities holdings (SOMA portfolio) to decrease by around $2.1 trillion. This reduction affects the Fed’s interest income, a significant driver of operating earnings. At the same time, the Fed's liabilities remain substantial, with currency outstanding hovering around $2.4 trillion, and various deposits and reverse repurchase agreements totaling several hundred billion dollars – factors that influence the overall balance sheet carrying costs and earnings.

The report may include financial insights encouraging, such as the strong Treasury market dealer intermediation capacity in Q1 2025. This financial stability perspective is relevant to income from securities lending and other portfolio activities. The asset composition of the balance sheet as of May 2025 includes significant holdings of U.S. Treasury securities, agency debt, and mortgage-backed securities, all of which generate interest income contributing to operating earnings.

Though the report likely reflects ongoing financial stability considerations, the exact figures for the operating earnings remain to be fully ascertained. For precise operating earnings figures and more detailed financial line items, reference to the complete report text on the Federal Reserve’s website is advisable.

Investors and businesses may find the Federal Reserve'ssecond consecutive quarter improvement in operating earnings a positive sign for potential financial investments, given the significant financial metric's association with the Fed's earnings from its monetary policy operations and services to depository institutions. The improvement in earnings could be linked to the Fed's continued reduction in its balance sheet, which influences net interest income earned on securities and lending, minus operating expenses.

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